BIOSTATS 540 - Fall 2015 Introduction to Biostatistics Biostatistics and Epidemiology UMass Amherst

For Students

Syllabus

Announcements

This Week

Lecture Notes

Homeworks and Exams

Computer Illustrations

Other Resources

1. Summarizing Data

2. Introduction to Probability

3. Populations and Samples

4. Bernoulli and Binomal Distributions

5. Normal Distribution

6. Estimation

7. Hypothesis Testing

8. Chi Square Tests

9. Correlation/Regression

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2. Introduction to Probability
(1) BIOSTATS 540 2015, (2) additional reading, (3) illustrative applets, (4) calculators (5) computer illustrations.

(1) BIOSTATS 540 - 2015

Lecture Notes 2015 Unit 2. Introduction to Probability
Posted 9/20/15 (pdf, 53 pp)
Carnegie Mellon Open Learning Initiative Course, Statistical Reasoning (Open and Free)
Unit 3: Probability
Module 5: Introduction (Probability) Slides #86 - 93.
Enter Course (html)
University of Florida Biostatistics Open Learning Textbook
Course 6050 & 6052
Unit 3A Probability
Enter Unit 3A Probability (html)
Homework 1 of 2 Due Monday September 28, 2015
Questions (pdf, 1 pp)
Solutions to Homework 1 of 2
Solutions (pdf, 2 pp)
Homework 2 of 2 Due Monday October 5, 2015
Questions (pdf, 4 pp)
Solutions to Homework 2 of 2
Solutions (pdf, 8 pp)
Practice Quiz - Questions
(pdf, 2 pp)
Practice Quiz - Solutions
(pdf, 3 pp)
FAQ - On Multiplication and Addition of Probabilities - When do I add and when do I multiply?
(pdf, 2 pp)

VIDEOS - multiple (Source: Khan Academy) Probability - Basics (html)
(Source: Regents Prep) Probability involving AND and OR (html)
(Source: Regents Prep) Conditional Probability (html)
(Source: Tversky A and Kahneman D.) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
(pdf)
(Source: Tversky A and Kahneman D.) 11. Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability
(pdf)
(Source: StatTrek) StatTrek AP Introduction to Probability
1. Probability
2. Rules of Probability
(Source: analyzemath.com) Introduction to Probability
(html)
(Source: Statistics Help-on-line) Easy to read introduction to venn diagrams and probability
(html)
(Source: John McGready, JHSPH Statistical Reasoning II) Observational Studies, powerpoint (pdf, 21 slides)
(Source: John McGready, JHSPH Statistical Reasoning II) The Case-Control Study, powerpoint (pdf, 22 slides)
(Source: John McGready, JHSPH Statistical Reasoning I) Measures of Association, powerpoint (pdf, 34 slides)
(Source: Norman Fenton, Queen Mary University of London) One page explanation of Bayes Rule
(html)
(Source: analyzemath.com) Probability Questions with Solutions
(html)
(Source: Surfstat Australia) An Example of Bayes theorem in medical diagnostics
(html)
(Source: Frances Boreland at University of Sydney, 2005) Measures of Frequency and Association - 35 easy to read slides
(pdf)
VIDEO (Source: www.actuarialpath.com) Lesson 7. Law of Total Probability 10:16 minute video
(html)
VIDEO (Source: Patrick JMT) Bayes' Theorem and Cancer Screening- 9:55 minute video
(html)
VIDEO (Source: TED Talks) Dan Gilbert -Why We Make Bad Decisions- 33 minute video
(html)

(3) Illustrative Applets

(Source: P. B. Stark, Berkeley) Venn Diagrams and Probability
(html)
(Source: David Lane and Dan Osheron, Online Statistics Education) Bayes Theorem Demonstration
(html)

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(4) Calculators

(Source:  Vassar Stats) Clinical Calculator 1 - Prevalence, Sensitivity, Specificity, etc. (html)
(Source:  Vassar Stats) Clinical Calculator 2 - Predictive Values and Likelihood Ratios (html)
(Source:  Vassar Stats) Backward Probability Template - Good for Bayes Rule
(html)

(5) Computer Illustrations

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 Copyright 2015 University of Massachusetts, Amherst. This is the course web site for BIOSTATS 540, Biostatistics and Epidemiology. Produced and maintained by the School of Public Health and Health Sciences. Send comments or questions about this web site to cbigelow@schoolph.umass.edu. Page updated: September 25, 2015