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1. Summarizing Data
2. Introduction to Probability
3. Populations and Samples
4. Bernoulli and Binomal Distributions
5. Normal Distribution
6. Estimation
7. Hypothesis Testing
8. Chi Square Tests
9. Correlation/Regression
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v 
2. Introduction to Probability
(1) BIOSTATS 540 2015, (2) additional reading, (3) illustrative applets, (4) calculators (5) computer illustrations.
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(1) BIOSTATS 540  2015 

Lecture Notes 2015 Unit 2. Introduction to Probability 
Posted 9/20/15 (pdf, 53 pp) 
Carnegie Mellon Open Learning Initiative Course, Statistical Reasoning (Open and Free)
Unit 3: Probability
Module 5: Introduction (Probability) Slides #86  93. 
Enter Course (html) 
University of Florida Biostatistics Open Learning Textbook
Course 6050 & 6052
Unit 3A Probability 
Enter Unit 3A Probability (html) 
Homework 1 of 2 Due Monday September 28, 2015 
Questions (pdf, 1 pp) 
Solutions to Homework 1 of 2 
Solutions (pdf, 2 pp) 
Homework 2 of 2 Due Monday October 5, 2015 
Questions (pdf, 4 pp) 
Solutions to Homework 2 of 2 
Solutions (pdf, 8 pp) 
Practice Quiz  Questions 
(pdf, 2 pp) 
Practice Quiz  Solutions 
(pdf, 3 pp) 
FAQ  On Multiplication and Addition of Probabilities  When do I add and when do I multiply? 
(pdf, 2 pp) 
(2) Additional Reading/Videos 

VIDEOS  multiple (Source: Khan Academy) Probability  Basics 
(html) 
(Source: Regents Prep) Probability involving AND and OR 
(html) 
(Source: Regents Prep) Conditional Probability 
(html) 
(Source: Tversky A and Kahneman D.) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases 
(pdf) 
(Source: Tversky A and Kahneman D.) 11. Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability 
(pdf) 
(Source: StatTrek) StatTrek AP Introduction to Probability 
1. Probability
2. Rules of Probability 
(Source: analyzemath.com) Introduction to Probability 
(html) 
(Source: Statistics Helponline) Easy to read introduction to venn diagrams and probability 
(html) 
(Source: John McGready, JHSPH Statistical Reasoning II) Observational Studies, powerpoint 
(pdf, 21 slides) 
(Source: John McGready, JHSPH Statistical Reasoning II) The CaseControl Study, powerpoint 
(pdf, 22 slides) 
(Source: John McGready, JHSPH Statistical Reasoning I) Measures of Association, powerpoint 
(pdf, 34 slides) 
(Source: Norman Fenton, Queen Mary University of London) One page explanation of Bayes Rule 
(html) 
(Source: analyzemath.com) Probability Questions with Solutions 
(html) 
(Source: Surfstat Australia) An Example of Bayes theorem in medical diagnostics 
(html) 
(Source: Frances Boreland at University of Sydney, 2005) Measures of Frequency and Association  35 easy to read slides 
(pdf) 
VIDEO (Source: www.actuarialpath.com) Lesson 7. Law of Total Probability 10:16 minute video 
(html) 
VIDEO (Source: Patrick JMT) Bayes' Theorem and Cancer Screening 9:55 minute video 
(html) 
VIDEO (Source: TED Talks) Dan Gilbert Why We Make Bad Decisions 33 minute video 
(html) 


(3) Illustrative Applets 

(Source: P. B. Stark, Berkeley) Venn Diagrams and Probability 
(html) 
(Source: David Lane and Dan Osheron, Online Statistics Education) Bayes Theorem Demonstration 
(html) 






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(4) Calculators 

(Source: Vassar Stats) Clinical Calculator 1  Prevalence, Sensitivity, Specificity, etc. 
(html) 
(Source: Vassar Stats) Clinical Calculator 2  Predictive Values and Likelihood Ratios 
(html) 
(Source: Vassar Stats) Backward Probability Template  Good for Bayes Rule 
(html) 






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(5) Computer Illustrations 











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