8
 BIOSTATS 540 - Fall 2022 Introduction to Biostatistics Biostatistics and Epidemiology UMass Amherst
 Instructor: Carol Bigelow

For Students

Syllabus

This Week

Unit Lecture Notes

Unit Tests

Illustrations

Other Resources

Course Unit Pages

1. Summarizing Data

2. Data Visualization

3. Probability: Basics

4. Probabilities in Epidemiology

5. Populations and Samples

6. Bernoulli and Binomal Distributions

7. Normal Distribution

8. Statistical Literacy: Estimation and Hypothesis Testing

9. One Sample Inference

10. Two Sample Inference

11. Chi Square Tests

12. Simple Linear Regression and Correlation

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Unit 3. Probability Basics

1. Introduction
2. Learning Module
3. Activities
4. Resources

(1) Introduction
VIDEO INTRODUCTION (Source: Northern Arizona University) Basic Probability Rules (video: 11:38)
VIDEO INTRODUCTION (Source: TED Talks) Dan Gilbert -Why We Make Bad Decisions- 33 minute video (html)
AT A GLANCE (source: Stat Trek AP Statistics Online Training) Probability (video, 10:46)
STATISTICS IN PRACTICE (Source: Tversky A and Kahneman D 1973 Cognitive Psychology 4: 207-32) Availability: A hueristic for judging frequency and probability (pdf, 16 pp)
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(2) Learning Module
VIDEO INTRODUCTION
(Source: OpenIntroOrg Video Series)
Probability Introduction (video, 19:51)
VIDEO INTRODUCTION
(Source: OpenIntroOrgVideo Series)
Probability Trees (video, 8:23)
VIDEO INTRODUCTION
(Source: Explainers)
Bayes Theorem (video, 15:10)
BIOSTATS 540 Fall 2022 Course Notes Probability Basics (pdf, 43 pp)
Homework Questions are embedded in course notes 3. Probability Basics (pdf, 43 pp)
due Friday October 7, 2022

Last date for submission w NO LOSS OF POINTS: Monday October 10, 2022:
Last date for submission for credit (-20 points): Friday October 17, 2022
SOLUTIONS to homework (pdf, 3 pp)
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(3) Activities
WORKED EXAMPLES (Source: www.intmath.com) Probability of an Event (html)
WORKED EXAMPLES (Source: www.intmath.com) Independent and Dependent Events (html)

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(4) Resources
VIDEO INTRODUCTION
(Source: OpenIntroOrg Video Series)
Probability Introduction (video, 19:51)
VIDEO INTRODUCTION
(Source: OpenIntroOrgVideo Series)
Probability Trees (video, 8:23)
VIDEO INTRODUCTION
(Source: Explainers)
Bayes Theorem (video, 15:10)
VIDEO (Source: TED Talks) Dan Gilbert -Why We Make Bad Decisions- 33 minute video (html)
VIDEO (Source: TED-Ed) The Last Banana - A Thought Experiment in Probability (video 4:09)
(source: Tversky A and Kahneman D Science 1974 Vol. 185, No. 4157, pp 1124-1131) Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (pdf, 8 pp)
VIDEO Series (Source: Kahn Academy) Basic Probability Videos (html)
VIDEOS
(source: Stat Trek AP Statistics Online Training) Probability (video, 10:46)

(source: Stat Trek AP Statistics Online Training) Rules of Probability (video, 16:20)
(Source: Marie Diener-West, JHSPH) Probability Concepts (pdf, 54 slides)

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 Copyright 2022 University of Massachusetts, Amherst. This is the course web site for BIOSTATS 540W, Biostatistics and Epidemiology. Produced and maintained by the School of Public Health and Health Sciences. Send comments or questions about this web site to cbigelow@schoolph.umass.edu. Page updated: September 26, 2022